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Warwick Farm tips: Promising stayer primed to bounce back


The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!WARWICK FARMBEST BETRace 4, No.7: FOREVER YOUThis Annabel Neasham-trained mare is much better suited this time going back up to 2400m off a quick back up compared to running over 1900m off a five-week break. Two and three runs back, she blitzed them and handles wet ground. NEXT BESTRace 5, No.8: LOCH EAGLEHe couldn’t have been more impressive winning at Newcastle three weeks ago when well backed and has run in Stakes grade already so expect him to go on with it off the confidence of a win.VALUE BETRace 3, No.1: AUCKLANDGoing off his trial, if he was in a bigger stable, he would probably be half the price he will start here. His stable isn’t too bad though; it won a Group 1 on the weekend.QUADDIERace 5: 3, 7, 8Race 6: 4, 9, 10, 13Race 7: 1, 5, 7, 8Race 8: 6, 7, 10JOCKEY TO WATCHRegan Bayliss will fancy his chances on Deep Romance, Park Avenue and Badoosh.TRAINER TO WATCHJohn O’Shea produces the promising King Of Naples on debut in the opener while Sound Of Cannons and Diamil look like top hopes too.THE INSIDE MAIL FOR WARWICK FARMRACE 1James McDonald has been on King Of Naples in both his barrier trials to date and done well in both heats on wet tracks which he’ll deal with again on debut. Whenever O’Shea has a good horse McDonald usually jumps on so it’s a good pointer here. Chipper only got beat on debut by a horse that had run in three-straight Stakes races to kick off its career and he was taking ground off it late at Canterbury so he’s already got appealing formlines. Chipper went past Alpha One late that day after Alpha One had to be used up early so there were some genuine excuses there and with a better run in transit, he can race well third-up.Bet: Chipper to winRACE 2Headliner has run in two Stakes races early on and not been disgraced. She is looking for 1300m second-up after a good effort fresh when second at Canterbury over 1100m and McDonald sticks so there’s plenty of good signs. Naval Seal was good on debut at Newcastle when just missing out on a win on a Heavy 9 track and with natural improvement off that he’s going to test his rivals. Waterford ran third on debut in Europe and hasn’t been seen publicly in Australia so watch the betting with him.Bet: Headliner to winRACE 3Auckland will likely start at double figure odds which is overs based on his barrier trail. If he was in a bigger stable, he would be half the price. Deep Romance showed plenty of ability at her first preparation without winning but running very close to the winner, particularly at her last two runs before a spell. She trialled up like she’s improved and must be giving this a shake. Hold On Honey also showed promise at his first prep and has come back with an excellent lead-up trial but does have barrier 13 to contend with. Bet: Auckland each wayRACE 4Forever You is the horse on the rise in this field. She bolted in at Newcastle before running on well, off a five-week break, at Rosehill and she now gets back up to 2400m again on the quick back up where she should be much more suited. Pale King was in that same race as Forever You last start and he can be forgiven for his seven placing after being checked at a crucial point which cost him momentum before he picked up and finished off strongly. Sound Of Cannons also had excuses last start when being forced to make an early run after getting trapped deep and he just didn’t have the energy late.Bet: Forever You to winRACE 5Straight Arron sat off the speed on debut at Sandown and won nicely before going for a break and Chris Waller has brought him back to Sydney and he put in a good trial against a Group 1-standard stablemate so he should match up here. He’ll have to be good however to beat Loch Eagle who bolted in at Newcastle first-up on a heavy track and Bowman is on again and the colt gets a better gate now and could lead them into the straight. He smashed Barrichello that day and it goes around in an earlier race. Park Avenue probably wants it to dry out a touch and he has a nice racing style and is well placed in this race.Bet: Loch Eagle to winRACE 6Diamil was good at his Australian debut and is only going to improve now that he’s up to a mile. He had to change course in the straight at Canterbury when a run didn’t eventuate and he ran on well for second. Natural improvement makes him hard to beat. Ita doesn’t mind it wet and she’s knocking on the door and has had the grounding to run out a strong mile which is a trip she’s performed extremely well at in the past. Welsh Legend needs a drying track while Main Stage is the one down in the weights who should be running into the money off previous form.Bet: Ita to winRACE 7Mark Newnham feels Dragonstone’s best chance to win races is staying at the short sprint trips which is why he’s here and looking for a kill at the midweeks before hopefully getting back to Saturday racing. He’s two for two at 1000m and handles wet ground. Stablemate Sixgun is super consistent and Newnham said he wouldn’t be surprised which of his runner finished in front of the other. Salina Dreaming has the class on her side but probably doesn’t want a bog track to deal with. She’s very effective at 1000m and has won here before.Bet: Dragonstone to winRACE 8Forget Shadow Devil’s last start defeat over 1200m at Flemington. He got lost up the straight after winning his first two runs at Gosford to kick off his career. Look for a bounce back. Arranmore has been super consistent to start her career and she gets the ideal run one off the fence and a pair or two back. When she has lost it’s been behind Able Willie and Espiona. Bubbly Lass has shown more than enough to suggest she will be a little overs if she starts at around the $13 mark.Bet: Arranmore to win

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