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Trade guide: Is it too late for SuperCoach specials?

Summary

Tim English has emerged as a likely must-have for season 2022 after opening the campaign with scores of 123, 99 and 152 – not only as a forward, but potentially as a ruckman. Forward spots were at a premium for most KFC SuperCoaches who chose to partner the popular pairing of Josh Dunkley and Zak Butters with a host of mid-price options and rookies. But those who went for Tim English, either as thier R2, F2 or F3, have been laughing all the way to the points bank in the opening three rounds. Stream every match of every round of the 2022 Toyota AFL Premiership Season Live & Ad-Break Free In-Play on Kayo. New to Kayo? Try 14-Days Free Now >The question for about 85 per cent of teams without the Western Bulldogs ruckman this week will be whether it’s too late to add him after his first price rise of the year. KFC SuperCoach stats genius Brice Mitchell projects English will jump by more than $40k ahead of Round 4 and be approximately $525k. That still looks great value for a player who has dominated the opening three rounds and looks certain to be a top-six forward at the end of the season based on current form. Brice’s projections have English peaking at about $580k in a month, so there’s still value in him despite missing out on the initial price rise. Expect English to be one of the most popular targets ahead of Round 4 as coaches clamber to jump on before it’s too late. That is a question thousands of coaches will be asking themselves this week as popular cut-price options including English, George Hewett and Patrick Cripps climb in price. Is it too late, or should you be prepared to pay extra not to miss out? Here’s the case for and against English and other targets to consider this week. TIM ENGLISH RUC-FWD The case for: English is averaging 124.6 after three rounds, numbers which put him in premium territory as a ruckman and forward. In fact, English’s current average would far exceed the best average of any player listed as a forward in 2021. English is rated elite for disposals (23), contested possessions (11), clearances (seven) and score involvements (seven). Yes, it’s only early in the season, but if you had been guaranteed a top-six forward for $520k at the start of the campaign you would have likely jumped at it. If your ruckmen are Max Gawn and Brodie Grundy, for example, English can also provide DPP cover via Jack Hayes or Hugh Dixon in the event one misses through health and safety protocols. Saving a trade and using English as a ruckman for a week could make a huge difference later in the season. The case against: Paying an extra $40-$45k than other coaches always stings. Whether you’re prepared to make that extra sacrifice will come down to your budget the cash generation your team is likely to have. Having the right rookies should always be your priority this early in the season and if you missed Nic Martin, or any others, you’ll need to prioritise them over English. He’s looked so good in the first three weeks, it’s hard to find many question marks. The fact he hasn’t played with Stefan Martin yet is one, but English is showing all the hallmarks of a No. 1 ruckman. It’s hard to see him being displaced when Martin eventually returns or being forced to play more in attack as he did last year. VERDICT: If you don’t have him, jump on now. $525k or thereabouts is still great buying for a player who looks primed to make the jump into premium status and could be a top-two or top-three ranked forward come the end of the year. Is Tim English a must-have player in KFC SuperCoach? OTHER KEY ROUND 4 TARGETS Nic Martin (Essendon) $102,400 FWD The rookie revelation of 2022, SSP signing Martin is set for a steep price rise after playing his third game for Essendon in Round 4. He was immense on debut with 27 disposals and five goals in a team pummelled by Geelong and backed up that effort with a composed game against reigning premier Melbourne (20 disposals, eight marks, 71 KFC SC points). Most teams already have Martin, but if you missed him in your starting side, this is the week to jump on. Those coaches were given a one-week reprieve when Martin missed last round due to health and safety protocols, but you won’t want to miss out on his first price rise. Martin is capable of being fielded at F5 or F6 and looms as one of the best cash cows of the year. VERDICT: If you don’t have him by Round 4, it’s going to be a long season. Jackson Mead (Port Adelaide) MID Another of The Phantom’s boys from South Australia, Mead was a shining light for Port Adelaide in its showdown loss to the Crows. He’s likely to rise about $34k after his third game, which included one as Port’s sub. Mead finished with 18 disposals and four tackles against Adelaide, winning an impressive eight contested possessions. There will no doubt be some coaches who copped Dylan Stephens’ score of 23 on Thursday who are tempted to take the small profit and sideways trade him to Mead. Other options would be cashing in early on Josh Rachele or Jack Hayes, especially if Hayes fails to hold his spot now Paddy Ryder is back. It would cost you a trade, but at least that would keep the cash generation going.VERDICT: Well done if you stayed patient with him. If his price rise had come in another two weeks, you could have considered trading Josh Rachele to him and making $120k or so. At this stage, that move probably isn’t worth it though. Jordan Dawson (Adelaide) DEF Is this the trade guide or an episode of the world-famous Phantom’s Lair? Word is The Phantom is still partying after his favourite player Dawson defied physics to kick that after-the-siren goal on Saturday night and earn Adelaide a famous showdown win. Aaron Hall and Dawson were two premium defensive options many coaches overlooked because they appeared to be limping into the season off interrupted pre-seasons. Hall is absolutely flying and Dawson confirmed himself as a serious option with 123 points in the showdown. He could have gone bigger too had Ken Hinkley not deployed Willem Drew to keep an eye on the Crows’ star recruit after halftime. Dawson’s price is likely to stay around $550k for a few weeks, which makes him more affordable than many other top defensive options. There’s also the possibility of MID status being added on the horizon before Round 6 too. VERDICT: No urgency as his price shouldn’t spike too much from $550k, but he’s a great option if you need an extra premium defender. Jake Bowey (Melbourne) DEF A price rise of about $65k after Round 3 will likely put the young Demon out of reach for most coaches. But, there’s still cash to be made if you’re desperate for a mid-price option to bridge the gap to a premium. If Bowey can continue to average 90-100 points, his price could peak at about round 8-9 at about $450k. That might be enough to trade him to a fallen premium in one move, should his scoring suffer when Christian Salem returns from injury. The most pleasing sign from Friday’s game against Essendon was Bowey’s disposal count dropped from 34 against Gold Coast to 18, yet he still posted 89 KFC SuperCoach points. Thanks to efficiency by foot and intercept possessions, that highlighted he doesn’t need huge disposal numbers to provide value for money. VERDICT: It’s probably too late now. But if you’re desperate for a mid-price with some value, you need to jump on this week before another big price rise.

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